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Lessons from inflation targeting in New Zealand
The number of central banks that have adopted formal inflation targeting regimes expanded over the past decade from only one to eight. The number increases even further when central banks that set policy consistent with a formal inflation target are included. Commesurate with the formal or informal ...
Estimaciones de la Nairu para Chile
El objetivo de este ensayo es estimar la tasa de desempleo que no acelera la inflación (Nairu) para Chile. Su medición permite construir la brecha de desempleo, medida complementaria de actividad y brecha de producto, que los bancos centrales usan en forma regular junto a los demás indicadores que ...
Anchors aweigh: how fiscal policy can undermine 'good' monetary policy
Policymakers have long understood that if fiscal policy runs amuck and monetary policy is forced to raise seigniorage revenues big inflations result. Latin American policymakers understand this outcome better than most. This message is implicit in Cagan’s (1956) initial study of hyperinflation and the ...
Forecasting Chilean inflation with the hybrid new keynesian phillips curve: globalisation, combination, and accuracy
Este artículo analiza el poder predictivo multihorizonte de la Curva de Phillips Híbrida Neokeynesiana (HNKPC) en la economía Chilena, para el período comprendido entre enero del 2000 y diciembre del 2014. Un elemento distintivo de este artículo es el uso de una especificación de Vector Autoregresivo ...
The nonpuzzling behavior of median inflation
For decades, textbooks have explained inflation behavior with
Friedman (1968)’s Phillips curve: the inflation rate depends on
expected inflation and the deviation of unemployment from its natural
rate. Yet this theory has always been controversial, and skepticism
has been rampant in the decade ...
Inflación e incertidumbre inflacionaria en Chile
Una parte importante de la literatura que estudia los costos de la inflación sugiere que el mayor efecto negativo de ésta proviene de la incapacidad de los agentes para predecir la inflación. Este estudio evalúa si en el caso Chileno, mayores niveles de inflación han ido acompañados de mayores niveles ...
Monetary policy in Chile: institutions objectives and instruments
Inflation seemed to be an endemic disease of the Chilean economy for most of the 20th century with its presence being felt even before the creation of the Central Bank in 1925. However things seemed to change drastically in the mid 1990s when the country began to experience a sustained process of ...
Inflation targeting and the anchoring of inflation expectations in the Western hemisphere
Many central banks have adopted a formal inflation-targeting framework based on the belief and the theoretical predictions that an explicit and clearly communicated numerical objective for the level of inflation over a specified period would, in itself, be a strong communication device that would help ...
Un test conjunto de superioridad predictiva para los pronósticos de inflación Chilena
Habitualmente se construyen pronósticos de inflación en distintos momentos del tiempo y a base de conjuntos de información diferentes. Cabría esperar que un pronóstico construido sobre la base de un conjunto de información mayor, fuese más preciso que otro construido a base de un conjunto de información ...
Does inflation targeting make a difference?
Since New Zealand adopted inflation targeting in 1990, a steadily growing number of industrial and emerging economies have explicitly adopted an inflation target as their nominal anchor. Eight industrial countries and thirteen emerging economies had full-fledged inflation targeting in place in early ...