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Monetary policy in the grip of a pincer movement
Monetary policy has come under strain since the global financial crisis (GFC) of 2007–09. Once the GFC broke out central banks’ swift and determined response was essential to stabilise markets and to avoid a self-reinforcing downward spiral between the financial system and the real economy. But putting ...
Competition and stability in banking
Banking went from being one of the most regulated sectors in the economy after the crisis in the 1930s to a more lightly regulated sector with the liberalization process that started in the 1970s in the United States. The previous period was marked by few crises with much more instability in the second ...
An econometric analysis on survey-data-based anchoring of inflation expectations in Chile
To what extent are inflation expectations of public agents anchored to the Central Bank of Chile’s (CBC) inflation target? In this note, I perform several econometric testing procedures in an attempt to answer this question. Expectations’ anchoring is understood as another central bank instrument, in ...
International aspects of the zero lower bound constraint
Large negative aggregate demand shocks can drive down an economy’s equilibrium real interest rate and if the central bank is committed to stabilizing inflation monetary policy may be hampered by the zero lower bound on nominal interest rates –the economy may be in a 'liquidity trap.' The policy dilemma ...
Measuring and managing macrofinancial risk and financial stability: a new framework
The vulnerability of a national economy to volatility in the global markets for credit, currencies, commodities, and other assets has become a central concern of policymakers. The responsibility for managing these risks at the national level is often given to the central bank. However, the conventional ...
The financial accelerator under learning and the role of monetary policy
The financial crisis that unraveled after the Lehman Brothers collapse affected in different degrees almost all countries around the world independently of the direct exposure of their financial institutions to toxic assets. Most countries saw a sharp drop in demand together with sudden increases in ...
Toward an operational framework for financial stability: 'fuzzy' measurement and its consequences
Over the last decade or so, addressing financial instability ¿has risen to the top of national and international policy agendas. Policymakers in general and central banks in particular have been allocating increasing resources to the monitoring of potential threats to financial stability and the ...
Un modelo de factores dinámicos de pequeña escala para el Imacec
En general, las proyecciones de la actividad económica y su trayectoria son parte de la base fundamental sobre la cual la mayoría de los bancos centrales toman las decisiones de política monetaria. En este contexto, el desarrollo de modelos predictivos siempre es útil en la medida en que diversifiquen ...
Central banking after the crisis
By the mid-2000s both academics and central banks had come to a remarkable consensus on what central banks’ basic strategy should be. However with the collapse of Lehman Brothers in September 2008 the world of central banking changed forever. The worldwide financial crisis revealed that some of the ...
Monetary policy under financial turbulence
The financial crisis that started in 2007 brought the global economy to the brink, and in many respects it is still unfolding, especially in Europe. While a fierce debate continues on how to understand and deal with the crisis, a consensus is emerging with regard to the originating shocks, the mechanisms ...