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Debt- and equity-led capital flow episodes
Our earlier work has helped to switch the focus of studies of extreme capital flow movements toward the use of data on gross inflows (mainly driven by foreigners) and outflows (mainly driven by domestics) rather than relying on net flows (the sum of the two) (Forbes and Warnock 2012). The old focus ...
Current account deficits: the Australian debate
Large and persistent current account deficits are frequently raised as a cause for concern for a number of reasons. Perhaps the key concern is that countries in this situation could be on a path to insolvency, building up excessive net foreign debt, raising the prospects of default or a sharp reversal ...
Sources of uncertainty in conducting monetary policy in Chile
Monetary policy is made in an environment of substantial uncertainty. Consequently, academic researchers have sought to formally demonstrate the implications of uncertainty, as well as the ways in which central banks can manage it. The theoretical literature on uncertainty distinguishes between three ...
The sources of economic growth: an overview
The importance of economic growth cannot be overstated. Income growth is ssential for achieving economic, social, and even political development. Countries that grow strongly and for sustained periods of time are able to reduce their poverty levels significantly, strengthen their democratic and political ...
Acceso a la educación superior ¿tiene un efecto disuasivo sobre el crimen juvenil? Evidencia para Chile
Este trabajo explora si el acceso a la educación superior en Chile tiene un efecto disuasivo sobre el crimen juvenil. Para esto, se analiza los efectos de una reforma implementada en el 2006 que ha mejorado considerablemente las oportunidades de acceso a instituciones de educación superior: el Crédito ...
Recessions and financial disruptions in emerging markets: a bird's eye view
The global financial crisis of 2008–09 led to massive interruptions in cross-border financial and trade flows. As a result of the crisis virtually all of the advanced economies and many emerging market countries experienced recessions over the past two years. These recessions coincided with various ...
Capital inflows and books in asset prices: evidence from a panel of countries
Policymakers and academics often believe that large capital inflows are associated with booms in asset prices and therefore with a higher risk of financial crisis. The belief is supported by the theoretical works of Krugman (1998) Caballero and Krishnamurthy (2006) Aoki Benigno and Kiyotaki (2009) ...
Inflation targeting and the anchoring of inflation expectations in the Western hemisphere
Many central banks have adopted a formal inflation-targeting framework based on the belief and the theoretical predictions that an explicit and clearly communicated numerical objective for the level of inflation over a specified period would, in itself, be a strong communication device that would help ...
Ciclo económico, riesgo y costo del crédito en Chile desde una perspectiva de modelos VAR estructurales
Este trabajo estudia la interacción entre el ciclo económico y el mercado de crédito en Chile. Los resultados se obtienen con la identificación de shocks mediante un modelo VAR estructural que reproduce el mecanismo de transmisión estándar empírico de la política monetaria que se ha encontrado en otros ...
Complementariedad entre un impuesto de tasa plana y subsidios monetarios para mejorar la distribución del ingreso en Chile
Este estudio analiza políticas redistributivas de Chile asociadas al establecimiento de un impuesto a la renta del tipo flat tax, y la ampliación del 'ingreso ético familiar', utilizando un modelo de equilibrio general computable dinámico combinado con microsimulaciones. Los resultados muestran que, ...