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Experiences with current account deficits in Southeast Asia
In the 1990s, Southeast Asia experienced very rapid growth associated with large and persistent current account deficits. The episode lasted from 1990 to around 1996, ending with the outbreak of the Asian crisis in 1997–98. Current account deficits peaked at around 10 percent of gross domestic product ...
An anatomy of credit booms and their demise
Episodes in which credit to the private sector rises significantly above its long-run trend (that is 'credit booms') are often associated with periods of economic turbulence. Until recently however efforts at developing methodologies for identifying credit booms and characterizing the economic ...
Why do countries have fiscal rules?
Professor Vittorio Corbo in whose honor this conference is organized has an outstanding academic and professional career that spans teaching research policy making and advice provided to the private sector international institutions and governments. In the latter capacity of government advisor he ...
Acceso a la educación superior ¿tiene un efecto disuasivo sobre el crimen juvenil? Evidencia para Chile
Este trabajo explora si el acceso a la educación superior en Chile tiene un efecto disuasivo sobre el crimen juvenil. Para esto, se analiza los efectos de una reforma implementada en el 2006 que ha mejorado considerablemente las oportunidades de acceso a instituciones de educación superior: el Crédito ...
Recessions and financial disruptions in emerging markets: a bird's eye view
The global financial crisis of 2008–09 led to massive interruptions in cross-border financial and trade flows. As a result of the crisis virtually all of the advanced economies and many emerging market countries experienced recessions over the past two years. These recessions coincided with various ...
Capital inflows and books in asset prices: evidence from a panel of countries
Policymakers and academics often believe that large capital inflows are associated with booms in asset prices and therefore with a higher risk of financial crisis. The belief is supported by the theoretical works of Krugman (1998) Caballero and Krishnamurthy (2006) Aoki Benigno and Kiyotaki (2009) ...
Leverage restrictions in a business cycle model
We seek to develop a business cycle model with a financial sector which can be used to study the consequences of policies to restrict the leverage of financial institutions (banks). Because we wish the model to be consistent with basic features of business cycle data we introduce our banking system ...
Fiscal multipliers and policy coordination
This paper is about an economy in a liquidity trap that is an environment with a zero nominal interest rate deflationary pressures and subpar growth. The paper shows two fiscal policy multipliers in a relatively standard New Keynesian liquidity trap economy with taxation costs. It computes real ...
Una revisión del comportamiento y de los determinantes del ahorro en el mundo
Las tasas de ahorro varían ampliamente en el mundo: en promedio, el este de Asia ahorra sobre 30% del ingreso nacional bruto disponible (INBD), mientras que África del sub-Sahara ahorra menos de 15%. Es más, las diferencias regionales han ido aumentando: durante las últimas tres décadas las tasas de ...
La crisis financiera global y contagio a mercados emergentes
Estudiamos el efecto de los vínculos entre bancos en el contagio de los ciclos productivos con un enfoque específico en la propagación de la crisis de 2007-2009 desde los países avanzados hacia los emergentes. En una muestra de pares de países compuesta de 17 economías avanzadas y 11 emergentes entre ...