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Inflation targeting under political pressure
Historically, many emerging economies, particularly in Latin America, battled against persistently high and volatile inflation. Today, emerging economies continue to experience higher inflation than developed ones, and their central banks deviate...
Indización: rasgos históricos en Chile y experiencia internacional
Este trabajo tiene dos objetivos. Primero, revisar la historia de la indización en Chile a partir de 1938 interpretando los cambios que se han producido dentro del contexto histórico, político y económico de las diferentes etapas del desarrollo...
El Banco Central en los años que se escapó la inflación: 1953-1958
Este capítulo abarca la historia del Banco en el período 1953-1958 coincidente con el gobierno de Carlos Ibáñez y de la presidencia del Banco de Arturo Maschke. La primera sección constituye una breve reseña de algunos aspectos del momento histórico en que estaba inserto el Banco en particular el ...
El Banco en 1946-1952: inflación de 20% e influencia del Fondo Monetario Internacional
Este capítulo se inicia con la contextualización política y económica del período 1946-1952. Esta última tuvo como característica fundamental la consolidación de una tasa inflacionaria de dos dígitos registrándose siete años consecutivos con una tasa media de inflación anual de aproximadamente 20%. ...
Trend, seasonal, and sectorial inflation in the Euro Area
A central focus of monetary policy is the underlying rate of inflation
that might be expected to prevail over a horizon of one or two years.
Because inflation is estimated from noisy data, the estimation of
this underlying rate of inflation, which we refer to as trend inflation,
requires statistical ...
Trade exposure and the evolution of inflation dynamics
The Phillips curve—the relationship between price inflation
and fluctuations in economic activity— is a central building block
of economic models that allow for nominal rigidities and are relied
upon by central banks around the world to gauge cyclical inflationary
pressures and forecast inflation. ...
The transformation and performance of emerging market economies across the great divide of the global financial crisis
Before the Global Financial Crisis, a drive towards greater central-bank autonomy and transparency, as part of the achievement of greater central-bank credibility that had begun in the advanced economies (AE), spread to the emerging market economies...
The nonpuzzling behavior of median inflation
For decades, textbooks have explained inflation behavior with
Friedman (1968)’s Phillips curve: the inflation rate depends on
expected inflation and the deviation of unemployment from its natural
rate. Yet this theory has always been controversial, and skepticism
has been rampant in the decade ...
Inflation globally
The fortunes of the Phillips curve have ebbed and flowed ever
since it was proposed by Phillips (1958). Although its origins are
primarily as an empirical regularity, there is now a vast literature
that provides more formal justification. In recent times, the Great
Moderation and the modern era ...
Fiscal inflation and cosmetic defaults in a small open economy
For a small open economy, maintaining a stable exchange rate and moderate levels of inflation is often a goal of primary importance. At the same time, the profession has recognized the tight link between fiscal and monetary policies in determining inflation dynamics. Thus, the goal of a stable exchange ...