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Commodity prices and macroeconomic policy: and overview
World commodity prices and their macroeconomic impact especially on emerging economies have long been a main concern in economic research. Decades ago the Prebisch-Singer hypothesis of secularly deteriorating terms of trade (Prebisch 1950 Singer 1950) was the subject of intense debate and became a ...
Resource revenue management: three policy clocks
Economies in which the extraction of a non-renewable natural resource is a significant activity pose two distinctive challenges for economic policy: Revenues are likely to fluctuate because commodity prices have historically been volatile. Furthermore the revenue from extraction is generated by depleting ...
Terms of trade shocks and investment in commodity-exporting economies
Commodity prices have experienced significant swings over the past two decades. Real commodity prices have on average more than doubled in the last decade compared to the previous one while the prices of some commodities such as copper and other industrial metals have more than tripled in real terms. ...
Chile’s fiscal rule as social insurance
Well before the Great Recession of 2009 put fiscal policy debates in the front burner commodity-exporting countries had to deal with important fiscal policy dilemmas stemming from revenue volatility and eventual depletion. Chilean policymakers have been at the forefront in this area since adopting a ...
Auge, colapso y recuperación de los precios de materias primas entre 2002 y 2010: ¿qué hay detrás?
Desde el año 2003 se viene observando un persistente incremento en el precio de los productos básicos, incluidos el cobre y el petróleo. Se mencionan frecuentemente como factores explicatorios el elevado crecimiento de la economía mundial y la irrupción de China como principal consumidor de materias ...