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Experiences with current account deficits in Southeast Asia
In the 1990s, Southeast Asia experienced very rapid growth associated with large and persistent current account deficits. The episode lasted from 1990 to around 1996, ending with the outbreak of the Asian crisis in 1997–98. Current account deficits peaked at around 10 percent of gross domestic product ...
Inflation targeting in Brazil: shocks, backward-looking prices, and IMF conditionality
In mid-January 1990, Brazil abandoned its crawling exchange rate band. Surprisingly enough, the country's economic performance in the aftermath of this episode was much better than expected, given the performance of other emerging market economies after a move toward floating. Despite the large ...
Microeconomic flexibility in Latin America
Latin American economies have begun to leave behind some of the most primitive sources of macroeconomic fluctuations. Policy concern is gradually shifting toward increasing microeconomic flexibility. This is a welcome trend since microeconomic flexibility, which facilitates the ongoing process of ...
External vulnerability and preventive policies: an overview
Emerging market economies endure significantly more macroeconomic volatility than industrial countries. Output volatility in emerging market economies is more than twice as large as that in industrial economies, and consumption volatility is three times as large. Recent studies corroborate the view ...
International risk spillovers: implications for emerging markets’ monetary policy frameworks with an application to Chile
Among the factors behind international spillovers, U.S. monetary policy developments retain a major influence. Such developments
drive the global financial cycle as strongly demonstrated by Rey (2013), Miranda-Agrippino and Rey (2020), Miranda-Agrippino and
Rey (2021). The dramatic U.S. monetary ...
Why are capital flows so much more volatile in emerging than in developed countries?
One of the most studied subjects in open macroeconomics is what determines capital flows. In general, most papers are concerned with estimating the following regression. where the left-hand side is some measurement of capital flows, either as a percentage of gross domestic product (GDP) or as changes, ...
An anatomy of credit booms and their demise
Episodes in which credit to the private sector rises significantly above its long-run trend (that is 'credit booms') are often associated with periods of economic turbulence. Until recently however efforts at developing methodologies for identifying credit booms and characterizing the economic ...
Large hoardings of international reserves: are they worth it?
Several Asian economies have accumulated large stocks of international reserves over the last few years. This motivates the question we address in this paper from an empirical point of view. Are these large increases in reserves an efficient crisis-prevention strategy? Or are they second-best to other ...
Anatomía de los booms crediticios y su fin
¿Cuáles son las principales características de las bonanzas o booms crediticios y sus efectos sobre las fluctuaciones macroeconómicas? Este artículo responde esta pregunta aplicando un método que propusimos en un trabajo anterior para identificar y medir bonanzas crediticias con datos de 61 economías ...
Dinámica de tasas de interés de mercado en tiempos de turbulencia financiera
La importante baja de la tasa de política monetaria (TPM) durante el año 2009 ha compensado el alza de las tasas de colocación causada por la mayor incertidumbre nacional e internacional. Este artículo concluye lo anterior al examinar la evolución de las tasas de interés de colocación de consumo y ...