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Trade exposure and the evolution of inflation dynamics
The Phillips curve—the relationship between price inflation
and fluctuations in economic activity— is a central building block
of economic models that allow for nominal rigidities and are relied
upon by central banks around the world to gauge cyclical inflationary
pressures and forecast inflation. ...
The international financial system after Covid-19
In March of 2020, international markets seized up with a violence unequaled since the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) nearly a dozen
years before. As economies around the world locked down in the face of the potentially deadly but completely novel SARS-CoV-2 virus, stock markets fell, firms and governments ...
Integrated annual report 2022
This was a complex year for the Central Bank. Inflation vastly exceeded our 3% target, which forced our institution to make drastic monetary policy decisions, as part of a cycle of rate increases that began the previous year.
Between January and October, the monetary policy rate (MPR) rose from 4.0% ...
Integrated Annual Report 2021
The Central Bank faced multiple challenges in 2021, especially due to the consequences of the worst period of the pandemic, which continued to affect the normal functioning of the economy. The persistence of the health crisis substantially changed the ways in which people, institutions, and the financial ...
Credibility of emerging markets, foreign investors’ risk perceptions, and capital flows
Emerging market economies (EMEs) are constantly exposed to shocks that originate in world capital markets, posing serious challenges to policymakers. By dealing with these shocks —Covid-19 representing the most recent event— several lessons have been learned in terms of the ways they
propagate as ...
Memoria anual 2020
El Banco Central de Chile ha publicado su Memoria Integrada 2020, reporte que detalla los principales hitos financieros, medioambientales, de relación con la comunidad, con sus trabajadores y el aporte que la institución hace al país a través del cumplimiento de su mandato legal, con el foco puesto ...
Changing inflation dynamics, evolving monetary policy
Empirical models have failed to explain inflation behavior over the last 20 years in most developed economies. The unusual inflation dynamics—the ‘missing deflation’ during recessions and the ‘missing inflation’ during recoveries—points to a failure of Phillips curve predictions. Several hypotheses ...
Memoria Anual Integrada 2021
El año 2021 abrió con múltiples desafíos para el Banco Central, especialmente por las consecuencias del periodo más duro de la pandemia, que continuó alterando el funcionamiento normal de la economía. La crisis sanitaria y su persistencia modificaron sustancialmente las formas de relacionamiento entre ...
Memoria Anual Integrada 2022
El año 2022 fue complejo para el Banco Central porque su meta de inflación de 3% se vio absolutamente sobrepasada, lo que obligó a nuestra institución a tomar drásticas decisiones de política monetaria, como parte de un ciclo de alzas que ya había comenzado el año anterior.
Entre enero y octubre, la ...